3H thinking

Hard-headed and humane philosophy
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Covering Nick Griffin in excrement didn't cover anyone else in glory.
Watching the long-awaited and much-hyped Question Time last night (22.10.09) I felt two completely unexpected emotions - boredom, and discomfort.
For the benefit of those just back from the dark side of the Moon, I should point out that for the first time, the panel included a self-confessed fascist, the BNP's smooth but implausible leader Nick Griffin. Beforehand, this inclusion by the BBC had been the subject of equally fascist intervention by Peter Hain and others to try and reverse the decision; and some risible cod-philosophical arguments as to why he should be disallowed from appearing had been dragged out from several dusty corners.
As this piece could easily be misinterpreted by Lord Manglesmear and his chums, I should assert here and now that Griffin is in my view (and based on his QT performance, that view was entirely confirmed) a weasel doing precisely what Hitler did after 1928: being Mr Reasonable for the benefit of all those bourgeois folks who think he might be a good thing (most of whom are over 70).
Griffin's reasoning is very sound: he already has the nutters, now he needs the severely disgruntled. However, neither he nor his Party have the remotest chance of ever influencing anything in Britain. By this time in his career, Hitler had 18% of Germans voting for him; the BNP polled just over 48,000 votes in 2005 - precisely 0.74% of the population. The British National Party is a red white and blue herring: with UKIP bagging almost all the respectably disgruntled buffers, Griffin and his mates have nowhere to go.
So in a nutshell, the BNP are as nasty as ever, but utterly irrelevant to our political landscape.
And so to my emotions. Boredom set in after ten minutes, and I switched off the telly after thirty-five. There were several reasons why I did this. First, it took about three minutes to see through Griffin's diaphanous veil of respectability. His manner was gauche and insensitive. He was very clearly a prize jerk. Second, nobody really wanted to listen to what he had to say: set positions were taken, and remained utterly unmoved. He was called lots of names and his inconsistencies were harped upon over and over again, until I was put in mind of three hundred robots trying to swat a gnat.
These robotic reactions to him bored me because they were, down to the last use of 'disgusting' and 'repellent' as descriptors of his alleged beliefs, exactly what I'd expected. There will be a few million intelligent people out there in Cool Britannia who went to bed last night feeling that a lot of knees were jerked, but not many brains had been engaged. I was one of them; and while I think that might win the BNP a few thousand more votes, we needn't worry about it - Nick did a Sterling job of destroying himself with every odd nuance and autistic smile he employed. He truly is a pillock of immense proportions.
The second feeling - of discomfort - grew out of the boredom induced by listening to robotic truisms. As these began to surface immediately, an uncomfortable impression of mob rule was given. If mob rule is what Nick Griffin longs for, then he certainly faced a lynch-mob last night. Who knows, perhaps he went home happy about that.
I'm bound to observe that Chairman Dimbleby never bothered to give the slightest impression of being dispassionate: he was armed with as many damning quotations as the other panellists. This doesn't bother me especially, but it wasn't very British - if one is allowed to use that value-laden word considering the subject matter of the show. Surely if the Beeb thinks Griffin is entitled to a hearing, they shouldn't hire a bent Judge to preside over it.
There was a fair degree of hypocrisy permeating the angry air. Jack Straw made the most extraordinary faux pas by pointing out that former anti-immigration Tory Enoch Powell's 1968 'rivers of blood' outburst contradicted his earlier invitation for Afro-Caribbeans to come here and work in the NHS. The story is entirely true, but I wondered where Jack was going with it. Something along the lines, perhaps, of "Yer see lads, if it 'adn't bin fer the Toreez, we wouldn't have 'ad the bloody wogs 'ere in the first place". Luckily, Dimbleby interrupted before he got there.
Having stick his political ice-pick in, Straw vilified Powell's views on immigration. Now this is a discussion one can no longer have in Britain, because for the last four decades Enoch Powell (a committed consitutionalist and talented academic) has been turned by almost everyone into something he never was. So one cannot - nay, must not - point out that had more sensible and less liberal minds been applied to immigration policy thirty years ago, we would have a more manageable population in 2009....and very probably, the BNP wouldn't even be on the radar.
Challenged about Labour's more recent failures on immigration, Man O'Straw of course ducked all of them. The Libdem Chris Huhne in turn bemoaned the entry of thousands of 'terrorists' into Britain, thus allowing Griffin to make a crass point about Libdems being opposed to Muslim imigration.
But it was the issue of Islam that gave me another attack of that irritating itch - something I get when a comfort-zone of belief comes under attack. The BNP leader pointed out that he was pro-Israel and anti-Hamas. Accused of calling Islam 'a wicked and vicious religion', he replied by quoting from the C'aran about the stoning of raped women, and the need to annihilate the Jews. "But you're a Holocaust denier yourself" said Dimbleby. "As are many Muslims" he replied. For the only time, there was a brief silence.
We were very clearly in the presence of double standards on all sides here. For all his protestations of innocence on the question, Griffin is indeed on the record as denying the Holocaust - as are most BNP members. But only a few days after 7/7, a Gallup survey recorded that 34% of under 35 year-old British Muslims supported the idea of subverting our State - by force if necessary. As a nation, we too are in denial about that.
The term Nazi has been used and abused by the Left in British politics for so long now, most people employing it barely know what it even stood for. It was an abbreviation of National Socialist - Hitler's ingenious way of being both Left and Right depending on his audience. To read Nick Griffin's Party strategy for the BNP is to become immediately aware that he is ploughing the exact same furrow: complain to the impoverished about nasty banks, and to bourgeois bigots about lazy immigrants and the importance of Being British.
Unfortunately, this is also true of the paper given to Tony Blair by Lord Gould in the early 1990s - proposing a Third Way between nasty Tories and Scargillite strikers - New Labour. And in recent years, the UK's Muslim leadership has invented 'Islamist' to describe the bombers in its midst - thus leaving themselves to be judged differently as 'Islamics'.
We all play our little packaging tricks, and we all have skeletons in our cupboards. In this sense, Nick Griffin was no different to the others on the panel, or indeed the members of the audience. Taking the 35 minutes I watched of this very disappointing programme as a whole, I was relieved that Fat Boy made such a prat of himself. But some very serious, pressing issues were raised and not discussed - and that is a blot on all our copybooks.
Society needs help....but does it need Social Services?
My Dad's oldest friend (long since dead, sadly) was a chap called George Royle. A first from Cambridge, he was for many years the Head of Social Services in Liverpool. He used to say that the biggest lie of the twentieth century was "I'm your social worker and I'm here to help you".
In the light of recent revelations (both here and elsewhere) in relation to Britain social care systems, the anecdote is in danger of sounding flip, perhaps even in poor taste. But most of us have long accepted that there are care workers (poorly paid, under-educated and sometimes abusive beyond belief) and social workers - highly educated, better-paid, left-wing on the whole, and often unable to speak anything beyond strangulated cod-psychology English.
Both personally and professionally, I've had occasion to meet and deal with all manner of such social services staff over the last five years. Every last one of them has seemed to me pedantic, process-driven, unable to get beyond cliches, and fiercely protective of their turf. Most of them told me lies (for reasons ranging from a quiet life and budget restraints through to arse-covering) and quite a few of them showed the sort of inflexibility I'd previously only associated with traffic wardens.
But that's just my sample-of-one: what do the porfessionals think?
Well, GPs accuse them of running from gunfire, as do quite a lot of hospital nurses. But the overwhelming response from all the services with which they interreact is one of 'for God's sake don't involve social services, or we'll be here forever'. Aside from the two groups already outlined, I have been given precisely this response by police, hospital consultants, memory clinics, child-minders, and the private aged-care sector. And as for the charge - often made by social workers themselves - that people saying such things have something to hide - my own experiences and the overall facts to hand simply don't support the accusation.
The track-record of social services in the field of quality control in general (and spotting abusers in particular) is dreadful - be they bad guys in other systemic areas, or the friends and relatives of their clients. Indeed, if judges like Stephen Wildblood at Exeter County Court weren't so keen to stick gagging orders on social service cock-ups, many more would come to light.
During the period preceding the death of Haringey's Baby P, Sharon Shoesmith was given many ringing declarations of encouragement and praise for her standards - while the DSS itself gave her middle to high scores on providing the necessary services. Throughout Staffordshire during the 1980s, it was human right lawyers like Richard Wise who blew the whistle on physical and sexual abuse, not the social services. In Plymouth, the Rocking Horse Nursery paedophile ring once again took them entirely by surprise: and in other infamous social work diagnoses, there is evidence that they see abuse where it isn't - as was previously so in Newcastle, Scotland and Blackburn. The nby story featuring Barbara Richards' ghastly life at the hands of these people would be enough to make anyone weep - but it is, trust me, only one among many thousands of others.
While there remain grave doubts about the competence of such people, however, what I want to raise now is another question entirely: 'Competent to do what?' What exactly do they think they should be doing?
Don't waste your time going to the various social services websites - or indeed to the ads they place in various publications inviting job applications: both are completely impenetrable, whether one judges them by known function definition, or simply linguistics.
For example, Barnet social services ('Putting the community first' - where else might a social worker put it?) was at the time of writing advertising a position as Assessment and Enablement Officer. This was the job description:
'In driving the personalisation agenda through direct work with service users, you can have a huge potential impact on them and their carers/families. You will be an initial point of contact who actively engages with people who want to access social work services, conduct individual assessments and facilitate self assessments. Following the enablement approach, you’ll then plan and set up appropriate personalised and outcome-led packages of support that maximise long-term independence and choice and minimise ongoing support and whole life care costs. You will also conduct regular reviews of support plans through structured reassessments, to put in place any necessary revisions.'
This needs no further comment from me, although the drone-clone who wrote it needs to be seriously reprogrammed. Fair enough, I know ads like these are an old target: but after twenty years of universal abuse, have they changed? I suspect the answer is yes - they've got worse.
And herein lies the core of this issue: the profession itself works very hard to make sure that nobody knows exactly what it's working very hard at - and thus quality controllers must employ an equally dense definition of whether they've succeeded or failed in bringing this mysterious goal towards which they are heading any nearer. Sorry, small attack of the social work adverts there.
Today, the only time we find out what they've done wrong is when a Baby P or a Gareth Myatt dies, or two kids jump off a bridge. This is far too late - and, more to the point, not what we should want to know. What we need to ask is 'Are these people doing any good at all?' and 'Is there a better way of ensuring good, humanitarian social care?' In this context, social workers too become a self-perpetuating Establishment: they are unlikely to reinvent themselves, and they certainly won't abolish themselves.
I have a very simple two-part hypothesis based on the evidence to hand and my own experiences. First too many agencies trying to put society right produces endless turf wars - but crucially, somebody else to blame for inaction. The whole approach needs streamlining, and then management by people who can define goals in a more concrete manner than the flim-flam mission statements currently available.
Second - and this is The Big One - I think we need to ask ourselves whether, outside of very clear mental health issues, the State (or official buildings of any kind) are the correct mechanisms and domiciles to use when it comes to 'caring' for vulnerable people. Put another way, by and large social workers get in the way more than they light the way - and once a 'system' is up and running, there are those who will exploit it, as well as others in turn too busy or insensitive to notice what's going on.
I do not doubt that these conclusions will leave me open to yet more accusations of Nazi affiliation. Well, so be it: but if I may dent that argument for one final paragraph, I would include the vast majority of criminals in that definition of 'vulnerable'.
Yes, it's official: I am soft on prisons. The very obvious reasons for this are first, they palpably don't work; and second, they cost a fortune...as the current Home Secretary is currently discovering. Even setting aside the fact that he forgot the soundbite as soon as he'd uttered it, Blair was wrong in 1997 when he did his 'tough on' shtick. There's no point in being tough on crime - once committed, like the tragic social care suicide, it is far too late. The need is for better prevention of crime - via radically rethought social and policing methods. (Not, I might add, by policemen imagining that the too are 'really' social workers).
Some sort of social-problem diagnosis system must and should play a massive part in this prevention process. But I would submit that the current one has been found wanting over and over again. The time has come to look for a radically new approach.
New Labour boycotting Marr? The blogosphere will boycott them.
It was instructive reading the national paper comment threads last week following New Labour's pathetic threat to boycott Andrew Marr. Boys will be boys and all that, but it's time the knitting circle calmed down and accepted the way the wind's blowing. Had they too read, knitted and pearled those threads, they'd realise immediately how relieved 90% of the public would be if nobody ever interviewed a politician again.
Forty years of media training have reduced such encounters to nothing more than urban media types trying to lassoo the ether created by Spin junkies. For myself, I find Marr's Sunday show fascinating when truly interesting people like Dame Joan Bakewell and David Attenborough are talking about newspaper stories, feminism or species depletion. Once poor Andrew starts trying to deal with the techniques of distraction and obfuscation in which the Establishment indulges interminably in 2009 Britain, the whole thing comes across like Gary Kasparov pondering for two years whether or not to move that Rook: nice if you're a Russian chess freak, but tedious for real people.
In the last year, however, I've realised that there is a far bigger democratic issue at stake here. It is this: the vast majority of politicians now (not counting Gordon's shortlived attempt to give good phone) perceive but one target audience for their worse-than-bark soundbites: the telly stations, the big websites, and the major national press. The ability to appeal direct to ordinary people via the Blogosphere eludes them - probably because the sphere is interactive. Bloggers answer back: and if there's one thing the Establishment hates, it's Joe Blogger answering back.
Alastair Campbell recognises how wrong his clients are. With artlessly unconscious irony, he remarked on a C4 programme recently that "the trouble with the internet is that it's hard to manage". C4's own Krishnan-Guru Murthy laid down a gauntlet at the Labour Conference by proposing this motion for his Twitter fringe debate last week: 'The internet is not for governance, it is for the Opposition'.
I think the creation of this motion title to be a work of pure genius. And my perception in this context is that politicos have suddenly found themselves between a crock and a hard place. While they understand how to manipulate the old media, even they are catching on to its decimation. But rather than truly embracing the New as a place where they can contribute on equal terms, the elite's intrinsic need to control knows not what to do. So the reaction is crude: 'we must smear the sphere, and thus neutralise our fear'.
This will never work. Not only do these folks lack the wisdom of Canute, they are themselves nothing more than obsequious courtiers at the Palace of the One-eyed Man. Brown is no longer ruler of The Kingdom of the Blind: the scales have fallen from the optical equipment of all those ordinary (but as ever, quite extraordinary) British citizens who will no longer go along with Blairite nonsense - especially that which included the ridiculous 'our greatest ever Chancellor' as a soubriquet for his Enemy-friend Gordon.
Over the next decade, I would like to see Big Interviews with small minds become a thing of the past. Being a guarded optimist, I think this quite likely. The internet - like the FA Cup - will always have the potential to be a great leveller. The most likely attribute required for any politician needing to partake in this media future will be humility. How refreshing - and good for our liberties - that will be.
An abbreviated version of this piece was first published at the Guardian's blogspot.
COMMON SENSE AND RECOURSE TO THE LAW
We all exist in 'this day and age', a description of 'life today' that was the leading British cliche some forty to fifty years ago. Since then it's gone through modern life, Cool Britannia and various other soundbites, but the meaning is always the same: day-to-day life as aggregated into what passes for an era.
In the day-to-day thing, we don't see the aggregate. What wakes us up to it is a news story that strikes one as odd, or meeting someone we haven't seen for years, and feeling vaguely annoyed that they've changed. Gradually - some might say insidiously - new values and norms filter through until that odd news story becomes run-of-the-mill. And then comes the next stage, until one day most of us wake to discover we have become Grumpy Olds.
I loathe the term Grumpy Old Man nowadays. Ten years ago it was very funny, but it's become an easy insult - like 'Communist' (US 1950s), 'Fascist' (UK 1970s) and 'Racist' (1990 onwards everywhere). The three GOM words - examined in the context of our obsession with ists - are in turn abusive, ageist and sexist. The last time somebody used it against me during a London supper three years ago, I called her an ugly young Muslim. At this point I became a racist opponent of our inclusive multi-cultural society.
GOM's who just sit and moan about prices, cheeky kids and yoof fashions are of course a worthy subject of stereotyping. I've nothing against stereotypes: if you're a pack animal they're unavoidable....it's common sense. But what we do today is decry common sense as bigotry, and that's not common sense - if you follow. It also removes a great deal of the humorous opportunities in life as expressed through the culture. Those who lack both common sense and a sense of humour can't abide anything involving fun and reality, so they use the law as a form of defence against it. But it isn't defence in any way, shape or form: it's an attack on the liberty of others. Everything changes negatively, but with each day it goes unnoticed. The society evolves into one where nobody says what they think, and nobody laughs.
For most of us (if we take the time to stop and think about it) that would be a society with a 30% suicide rate. In 2009, millions of us are committing suicide by drinking to excess - there are hundreds of reasons for that, but an important one is that British culture is woefully lacking in fun, open debate, creative ideas and.....common sense. Have a creative idea about how to solve religious problems peacably in Cruel Britannia, and you'll find that someone has taken.....recourse to the law.
Hence the title of this essay. It started in my head three days ago when I began reading about some of the legal practices (and casual acceptance of them) that pass for a justice system in our country. There is a specific reason for this which I trust will be revealed in due course both on the site and elsewhere, but for the time being the point is this: openly display common sense to the cultural elite today, and you'll either wind up in a Court somewhere - or facing a law to ensure you never say it again.
Common sense and recourse to the law has become more than merely two sub-clauses strung together as the title of a think-piece: It is become a near-guaranteed sequence of events. Let me furnish some examples.
For two years, the police fail in their duty to caution and control the behaviour of a thug. Despite common sense telling most of us that if allowed to continue in this manner Mr Thug will just get more and more arrogantly anti-social, the practice continues. So some well-meaning folks in the community band together and decide his infamy should become higher profile. The thug sues for libel. The police stand on the touchline and watch these events unfolding, quietly satisfied that justice is taking its course, but it isn't: common sense is simply being followed by recourse to the Law. Nobody wins except thugs and lawyers. Which isn't common sense. And the cycle continues.
Here's another one. A newspaper columnist interviews a prominent Islamic, taking him to task about the mysoginy and extremism rife in his religious group. The Islamic becomes incensed and declares there is no such thing as an extreme Islamic. The journalist prints a piece pointing out that appeasing people like this isn't common sense. The Islamic takes recourse to the Law. That fails, and so he starts to lobby the Government for new laws. He comes within an ace of getting them onto the Statute Book....only 56 deaths in the London Tube bombings foil his aim, as the Government back-tracks like an Italian tank.
The law today is rarely for you and me: too often, it's made for the bad guys - and framed by other bad guys. There was no law to stop Freddie Goodwin being a greedy hobgoblin who first destroyed a bank, and then insisted it give him a lifelong payout. But there already exists a law to allow bailiffs into the many mortgage-defaulting houses that resulted indirectly from his actions. That's simple injustice: what Harriet Harman did then - declare she'd pass a new law and then backdate it to get Goodwin - is recourse to the law following a common sense failure over many years. More than that, it's reourse to the Law by a lawyer who doesn't grasp the first principle of the European Court - or indeed, human rights protection per se.
But if Ms Harman has aleady established herself as First Among Idiots, what these three case histories point up across human activity overall is that ignoring common sense, and recourse to the law, have appalling societal consequences. If you doubt the scale of this syndrome, I offer you some statistics to concentrate the mind. According to the Government's own MoJ figures, in twelve years New Labour has passed 38,293 new instruments of law. More than 3,600 new criminal offences have been created. So much more has been criminalised in 1997, the potential for chicken and egg mistakes in interpreting crime date is huge - and nobody's better than New Labour at that game.
For example, children offend at a rate 50% higher than when Labour came in. They committed 38,000 offences last year (although of course crime has fallen by 35%) so is this just that everything is a crime today, or that kids are nastier now, or that common sense failures before that reduced child discipline, or all of these things? The answer is the last one, but telescoped into that same old order again....no common sense = recourse to the Law. Funny how New Orders turn to obeying Old Orders every time. Forward not Back, and all that.
The only time when this progression of events doesn't follow is when those who lack any kind of reality dimension are above the Law. The invasion of Iraq has just begun to involve a judicial process of post mortem, but there can't be anyone with...um...common sense in Britain who thinks Blair will be even charged let alone tried. Greedy lunacy and loss of...err...common sense by bankers has ruined Britain - literally. Not a single real perpetrator or promoter of that system has gone to jail. Globalist neo-conservatism has produced ill-at-ease societies with reduced levels of life balance and most families under a pressure they'd rather not have. Not only has no offence been invented to stop them doing it again, they are already doing those things again; we can't even get a socio-economic debate going about what a crock it all is.
And that's why I must reiterate: the Law is overwhelmingly there for the bad guys. Bad guys who want to avoid their criminality being detected and punished, bad guys who want to shut the majority up, bad guys who want to hide behind it to make more profits, bad guys with zero common sense, Bad guys who need to cover up massive incompetence, and bad guys who wish to remain far above the effect of legal processes.
In the past I've added the codicil "If most of the governing class are rich lawyers, then the nature of the Beast will be lots more laws that leave those lawyers richer and even more protected than we were before". But there are very courageous lawyers out there fighting against this poisonous melange of idiocy, privilege and mendacity. Sadly, they're fighting a losing battle. And no doubt before too long, there'll be somebody putting forward the Bill to Control the Incorrect Activities of Not-rich Lawyers.
ON THE SUBJECT OF TIME, AND TAKING THE PISS
Time is the most influential thing in the Universe. In fact, without it nothing else - light, physicality, heat, electrical energy, chemistry and Life - could exist. Time created our material existence.
The Universe these days casually described as infinite was once so infinitessimally small, it could not be seen by the naked eye - had an eye (naked or otherwise) existed. It was a sub-atomic particle of such density, no amount of parellels involving London buses or grains of sand on a beach could even begin to describe its tininess. But then it became unstable and BANG! there was a Big Bang.
Before the Big Bang there was no Time, but the bang created it by the simple process of exploding outwards and thus creating the first ever series of events. Before then, nothing happened because there was no series of anything: there was just 'is'. An infinity of absolutely nothing whatsoever happening, such as to make a Beckett play seem like your average Wild West B-Movie.
This - and many other nonsensical ideas - is what much of the scientific community would have us all believe created everything that exists today. Or rather, doesn't exist today: because Time, events, things and even we are all illusions. Illusions created by the creation of Time - which is of course itself an illusion.
The 'of course' is ironic. Without irony it's hard to take quantum science seriously. Even with irony, it's little more than a series of daft and contradictory ideas.
For example: 'Before Big Bang there was no Time'. Small flaw in this theory: without Time, no catalyst of chemical change could take place to create instability and explosion. So either there was Time before Big Bang. Or Big Bang is a naff idea.
I tackled my physics teacher Les Lumley with this in 1962. It's not that I was a genius or anything - several of us had spotted the theory's gaping Black Hole - and he went away to think about it. I suspect it had occurred to him too, because he didn't look surprised, and we never got an answer.
However, I'm not a science-rubbisher: far from it, the whole subject of quantum mechanics and sub-atomic physics fascinates me. Because most of it has been backed up by solid field research; and because it chimes precisely with the intuitive preachings of pretty well all the major prophets. But there remains this enormous problem with Time in general, and the Big Bang in particular.
The human mind is incapable of imagining anything being created without some form of concerted and/or methodical system having been involved. 'If there was a Big Bang' we think, 'then something must have caused it'. And the 'cause without intelligence' thing satisifies few if any of us. I have listened to several eminent people telling me that this is merely a function of the human brain's limitiations - but I don't buy it. My common sense tells me that this is a matter of pure logic, not brainpower.
I've already outlined the simple chemical reality that no explosion can take place without Time first of all creating the conditions for a reaction. However, in a Newtonian Universe all experiments carried out correctly are replicable in all places and under all parallel circumstances by others. But in the Einsteinian Universe, this no longer holds good as a principle: in the sub-atomic realm, every experiment can and does produce a different result. And here's the spooky bit: it seems to be the presence of intelligence emanating from different individuals which creates the changes in outcome.
This supports the idea of an illusion in which things may change randomly. But it also lends itself to my own hypothesis: something or somebody somewhere is taking the piss.
If this strikes you as flippant, you should think again. Shortly before his death in the 1950s, Einstein was asked what trying to discover the secrets of the Universe was like. He replied, "It's like playing chess against a Grandmaster who moves the pieces when you're not looking". Or put another way, something or somebody somewhere is taking the piss.
The truth is that I've stuck to my Piss-Taking theory of the Universe since I first came up with it in the late 1970s. Everything that's been discovered since - the French Aspect experiments of 1986, the confirmation of Einstein's belief in electromagnetic waves, and the acceptance that in a realm where Time is of almost zero importance it's all bollocks really - has confirmed it.
I actually think it's entirely possible that the Universe was created by a teenage God somewhere getting his homework very badly wrong. That afterwards, philosophical teachers thought 'What the Hell, let's see what happens'. And that after even that, one especially bitter and twisted teacher - the one who, in my day, always got you to decline Latin verbs while tugging at your sideburns - suggested to the others what a cool concept it would be to keep the products of this experiment guessing about what the Bejesus was going on...using the simple principle of constantly changing what the Bejesus was going on.
All this said, it remains interesting to me that (as a bloke who's suffered from anxiety for much of his life) the one great truth I've stumbled upon over six decades is that banishing Time is the best way to calm down. To remain in what Tolle calls Now and the Busddhists call Presence is the best form of meditation I've yet discovered.
All of which suggests that Time is a bad thing. And the One who created it was a very naughty boy.
23% OF GLOBAL NET WORTH LATER, THEY HAVEN'T LEARNED ANYTHING
It seemed to me that nby's return from holiday was a good moment to take stock of the global economic and fiscal situation. And although it may seem at first sight that such a piece doesn't belong in a philosophy column, there are no rules of which I'm aware saying that philosophy has to be unworldly. On the contrary: for me, philosophy has always been about how we hierarchise our personal and social priorities and needs - in short, how we choose to live in the world, and why we do so.
In the Telegraph last Tuesday (11.8.09), arch neo-liberalist Irwin Steltzer offered his usual aplogaeia for the status quo and the American Way. Not merely for the fun of blowing my own sad trumpet, I insert below the comment I wrote in his blog column thread. Chiefly, I think it acts as a good starting point - and summary of where most open minds are at today:
Mr Seltzer demonstrates admirably why he is a curate's egg.
On the one hand, he analyses his postbag with a clarity that exceeds any other summary I've seen on the subject of why mature readers are fed up of incompetent fascists telling them what to do.
But on the other, as always he states the American case with no room for the British one. And (I am bound to remark) as an older head himself, Mr Stelzer has been comprehensively wrong throughout much of the current disasters. But then, as an unashamed neo-liberalist, he would be.
I suspect REAL people in the UK are waiting for some IDEAS about what to do next - as opposed to acres of 'there is no alternative' and jargon-ridden process from both Westminster and Washington.
And please Irwin, no more admiration for Ronnie, OK? Great foreign policy, dumb financial agenda.
What Mr S and all the soi-disant elite need to grasp remains very simple: trickle-down economics and command economics don't work. Globalised banking is a crock. Bourses are an insane way to raise money. Macro-business and monetarism lead to declining creativity and lousy balance in all walks of life. The world's strongest growth period was under the mixed economies of 1952-1975. Everything Milt Friedman was given to play with produced utter disaster.
Marx, Keynes,Reagan,Thatcher, Friedman and Blair are all yesterday's men: what capitalism (and the culture it generates) must do very soon is find a new purpose for itself....beyond enriching an obscenely tiny minority of quasi-autistic Masters of the Universe.
A great many Telegraph readers feel like this, because they were www.notbornyesterday.org
I say 'where most open minds are' with closely-guarded pessimism, because there aren't many of us. One is Ken Rogoff at Harvard, former Chief Economist at the IMF, who wrote the piece at http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/rogoff59 . His prose are considerably gentler than mine, but he is making all the same points.
That said, an odd exercise has been going on for the last two years. Nby has written at (too much) length about it, but I need to reiterate it briefly here. The first bloke to pick up on this was Perry Worsthorne in the Spectator, when he said that bankers had come to represent a similar threat to freedom in the Naughties as the Trade Unions did in the Seventies. Dear Peregrine was too narrow in his choice of collective noun, because it should really have read 'the socio-economic elite'. Of course, he is just a tad right-wing, and would thus shrink from saying that the whole Establishment needs blowing up. But I remain convinced not that there is a conspiracy involved, but rather what I'd term a concerted effort to 'frame' all criticism in a small space called hairy, fart-recycling demonstrators and unpleasant Lefties. It sort of runs along the worn-shiny tramlines of 'there is no alternative and you're just a naive idealist'.
Steadily over the last year (especially in the States) a majority of albeit motley opponents to The System have begun to throw away 'left' and 'right' as words, and instead use more threatening consensus insults like 'disgusting', 'madness', 'grossly unfair', 'amoral' and even 'unforgivable' about everything from City bonuses and MPs' expenses to bank bailouts and the consumer debt culture. When I wrote a piece for a small magazine in March arguing 'a system with no better answer than to double the patient's toxic dose is no system at all', I was overwhelmed by how supportive the comment thread was afterwards - and how it covered all ages, classes and voting intentions.
In the US last Autumn (as Hank 'chicken licken' Paulson insisted on his knees that the planet would spiral out of its orbit without an immediate $890 billion* for Wall Street) literally millions of electors jammed Congressional phone and email systems with one succinct promise: 'rescue these SOBs, and it's the last vote you'll get from me'. Wow - power to the People. And in our own rather laggard and indifferent manner, at Norwich North last month those who did or didn't vote gave out the same message. To have a by-election just months from The Big One in which seven in ten of those entitled to vote supported none of the three main Parties is unprecedented in nearly eight hundred years of Parliamentary democracy in these islands. (See the previous posting below for a more detailed analysis)
However, for me the feature which is already setting the post 2008 world apart from its predecessor is the on the one hand eclectic nature of the alienation, but on the other the consistency of diagnosis. Be it shadowing every male decision-maker with a female in Parliament or insitutional incompetence in Haringey, Freddie Goodwin's deluded arrogance or the speed with which bankers have started grinning again, people can be heard over and over saying the same stuff in focus groups as colours their rants in blog threads: 'Who are these fat, overpaid, bonkers, controlling, greedy, crooked clowns without a scintilla of common decency or sense in their midst?'
Now like it or not, with a bailout in total that cost 23% of world GDP (and fifteen NHSs in the UK) the socio-fiscal can no longer be even artificially separated from the economic. But rather than heeding the fury of those 'beneath' them and the reality of the mess, the Elites have chosen to make precisely that separation. There is but a rice-paper between Obama on the one hand and Brown on the other refusing not only to accept an inevitable impact, but upping their commitment to it in order to 'stay cool with' their voting franchises.
Among those responsible for putting our leaders into office, there are at least signs of sanity. While the most incontinent credit card users have changed nothing in their behaviour (their debts are being consolidated, but continue to rise) most people have pulled horns in very quickly on both sides of the Atlantic. These are the folks from all walks of life who went along with feelgood and the spending culture as long as sites like nby appeared to be barking up the wrong tree, and possibly mad. Once Lehman went under they flocked to the site, doubling the hits in November 2008.
This is the majority to which I refer: only a small percentage became subscribers, but hits (once Google accepted they'd got all their links wrong) stayed at 60% higher than before the crisis. Subscription is also up 32%, but that's irrelevant apart from the warm effect on my ego: these people are not on the whole joiners. They're not Greens or policy wonks, they're not active in anything very much (apart from, increasingly, Facebook). But the one thing they all have in common is an almost total lack of faith in - to be broad once more - The System. When my elder brother (a lifelong Tory and enthusisatic supporter of global capitalism) says to me "Yer know our kid, this just isn't right - they're takin' the piss" you know that something is badly wrong.
The bottom line, I suspect, is that the feminists and globalists and neo-liberalists and all the rest of the Wishful Unthinking Tendency (WUTs) have learned absolutely nothing: they are as patronising, secretive, hopelessly fake and utterly out of touch as they always were. The 'opinion leader' media (as I survey them, endlessly sad and fascinated day by day) don't get it either. Only the Economist and one or two FT thinkers like Martin Wolf continue to raise the question raised elsewhere on this site in Down the Road Apiece : given more and more debt and printing more and more money can only ever be very short-term answers (if we are to avoid killing currency confidence and latent demand forever) what will come after Quantitative Easing? Because after that, only the tired process of bumbling fat blokes is left: when it comes to new ideas, the cupboard is bare. (Even Robert 'Downing Street Line' Peston has sussed this one)
The answer from the WUTs, you will be unsurprised to learn, is that we won't need the QE2 anyway, because everything's tickerty-boo now: the economy's turning round, share prices are rising, and the Global financial crisis is behind us.
As to the last part of that, I agree with them. What they don't seem to comprehend is that - having cost a quite mind-boggling fortune to pull off - it will be replaced by regionally varied econo-fiscal crises of far greater profundity in terms of their knock-on effects upon most of the things we value today: liberty, a welfare safety net, and some form of universal healthcare. Obama is being smeared from head to toe about US health insurance, the NHS is already cutting care to pay for the PFI bill, nobody has the answer to an older and more demented population, nobody knows what to do about the poor half of retiring post-war Baby Boomers, and in Japan there are strong signs that folks with some very different ideas about how to proceed may soon be in Government. And lest we get too smug here, remember that over a third of all Norwich North voters rejected every last dimension of Establishment policy - immigration, the EU, spending more on social care, and even tolerance of other cultures. The whole kit and caboodle was dissed.
The world has never seen change on this scale before. Supranationalism ploughing on in the face of localism, planetary damage coming to the boil, water scarcity which can only get worse, global power shifting to the East, western society coming unglued at familial and community levels, a technological adrenalin-rush laying every emphasis on Right Now, a commercial crisis barely one quarter over, and the growth everywhere of harder and harder attitudes towards those we assumed knew what they were doing, but now appear not to have really understood anything about the anatomyical arrangement of elbow and backside.
The globalised banking domino-fiasco of 2007-8 (predicted here and in thousands of other places) was the warning bell. Most voters have, I think, heard it: in poll after poll, they refuse to accept the brainless optimism of those who think Japanese knotweeds are the very green shoots we seek. But as for the self-styled masterful people on the trading floors and in the legislatures, well - they're busy sticking 'Business as Usual' signs on their wobbly film-set shopfronts.
There is no point in predicting the end of what passes for technological civilisation as we know it, because that is highly unlikely to happen. If China finds itself in a position to hold the rest of us to ransom, there remains an American nuclear option still forty times more than the requirement for mutually assured destruction; and anyway, as a global superpower peopled by highly intelligent and industrious citizens, China has far too much to lose even today. Further, I remain of the view that once capitalist research discovers a way to make money out of desalination, it will do so. The effects of this in turn on the eco-balance in our oceans will then have to be faced: but that is another bridge for, probably, another century.
What is going to change forever however - and call an old bloke mad, but this seems to me as plain as the lengthening nose on Lord Mandelson's face - is the currently assumed presence of two things: large central and supranational government; and a capitalist system sustained by the suicidal models of ever-increasing volume and consumer debt.
As to the first, it would require a thick volume for me to trot out all the reasons why the corporatist State is a dinosaur faced with the triumviral problems of very small brain, very unwieldy body, and rapidly approaching meteor. The Sun headline is dominated by the words tax, waste, bankruptcy and exponentially declining efficacy. Other factors include internet 'demo' power passing to the individual (for all its air-headed nature now, Twitter is showing what the future might hold); an unstoppable backlash against the dependency 'I'm entitled' culture; an inevitable communitising - perhaps even familialising - of spending power, based again on web-driven affinity groups; the desire of most Homo sapiens to be relatively free of dictatorial snooping; and leading into the second area below, the eventual snipping of the pernicious umbilical cord that currently connects the corrupt cadres in big business and big government. The ultimate turkey Gordon Brown can gobble globalglobalglobalglobal until the highland cattle come home: the future is most emphatically not globalist, for the simple reason that Earth's citizens don't want it to be.
It is the denial of those who have everything to lose from new-model economics which will in the end (for a time at least) become rather messy, and very scarey. While neo-liberalist bankers still want the market to decide, they turn to the world's Treasuries when the market does something terminally silly. Equally, while the hubris-fuelled gargoyles of government wish to continue insisting that they can lift us out of poverty, old cars and everything dangerous, when that's no longer affordable they will turn to those very same bankers. Clearly, one day soon this is going to be a case of Oliver Twist asking for more from Wilkins Micawber. When this push comes to shove, Mr Micawber will try his utmost to convince truly free thinkers that "something will turn up". And when that in turn fails to wash, the two will conspire to ensure that the system must be saved from the very people it is allegedly designed to benefit. In this sense, the twisted logic of liberal democrats and free marketeers is every bit as surreal as that of the Soviet era - and just as mendacious in its use of the words 'free' and 'liberal'.
For myself, I am torn: on the one hand still well able to remember the at times hysterically painful experience of having mercurial civil servants and compulsive marketers as clients, I also feel ill at ease with Greens and communitarians whom (it often seems to me) couldn't organise a sexathon in a Viagra factory. I strongly suspect that millions of others share this view: neither Yuppie nor Swampy, they simply want sound administration, good practical solutions and common sense to prevail. If we had electoral systems in the major democracies designed to allow the natural emergence of this view in the form of a new Party, we would have little to fear: it might never gain power (perhaps it shouldn't anyway) but it would have a restraining influence on the mad folks. Patently obviously, we don't have such systems - and this is where in some cultures civil unrest on a hitherto unexperienced scale could well occur. As an immediate UK example, I would cite the recently reported clumsy attempts to prepare a system making householders pay tax for having good views, efficient insulation, new roofs, nice gardens and good furniture. It is government gone mad, and the People would spit it out as they did Thatcher's poll tax.
I'm sorry this has gone on a bit. In the soundbite, online culture of 'six hundred maximum please love - and no long words', it is often assumed that everything can be boiled down to a bit of froth. Well, it can't: I'm all for elegantly neat and simple solutions, but the problem needs to be audited with both depth and breadth. For New Labour (and the Obamites are showing similar signs already) it works the other way round: stuff the problem, what's going to look like a solution? Obviously, neither gesture politics nor Micawber economics can deal with a step-change of this complexity and scale.
One or two lessons have been understood, but not by those who aspire to be our Headmasters and taskmasters: they have learned nothing. I believe there will be violence, and I'm sure the surveillance State will try to stamp it out. But it is our lucky fate to have incompetent idiots unable to get their jackboots on, let alone tread on anything with them. In the meantime, what we will have learned is how to put unbearable web-based pressure on both commerce and government. In time, they will grasp that this process has taken place - and thus no longer wish to do a job with no power. Only then will true power over its own destiny return to the commumnity at local level. After that, we'll have nobody to blame but ourselves.
ROTTEN BOROUGHS AND PLAGUE VILLAGES
While the UK media have focused almost entirely on the short-term Party implications of the Conservative gain in Norwich, for those of us using constitutional awareness and research statistics as the weapons of analysis, the result takes on an entirely different perspective.
At first glance, the result is simply a sweeping victory for Cameron’s Tories: by any definition, turning a safe-ish Government seat into an Opposition majority of 7,348 is not so much a big swing as a deadly right hook for New Labour.
But we live in strange times. The result is, on closer examination of the numbers, the victory of a far more fundamental shift.
First off, viewed as a judgement on UK government and political policy, the result is a disaster for those who would regard themselves as the Establishment in 2009. Excluding the more tangential candidates, total votes cast against the EU, immigrants, Parliamentary ethics, globalist economics and a voting system dominated by two main Parties came to 14,655. This was bigger than Ms Smith’s total (itself nowhere near a majority of all votes cast) but more to the point, a whopping two-fifths of all those who voted.
Further, over half the electorate didn’t vote at all. That’s not so unusual in mid-term by-elections, but a very unhealthy sign when feelings are running this high less than a year before a General Election. One extrapolation must surely be that an enormous proportion of the electorate no longer feel there is any point at all in voting. Given the constituency size, Chloe Smith goes forth to Westminster with the support of 18% of adults who live there. There were eighteenth century rotten boroughs with more democracy than that.
The Liberal Democrats in turn (despite a brave post-declaration cheer) can take little cheer from their vote. They beat the UK Independence Party – a one-issue, demographically narrow and expenses-scandal scarred Party – by just 195 votes. Libdem MEP Sarah Ludford earlier this year described UKIP as peopled by those who ‘hate everything Europe stands for….all they do is rave and vote no’; while David Cameron dismissed them as ‘BNP Lite…a bunch of fruitcakes and loonies and closet racists mostly’. Well, the Monster Raving Racist tendency – viz, UKIP + the BNP combined – attracted more votes than the Liberal Democrats in Norwich North.
At Conservative HQ, this by-election result will go down as another scalp for the Cameroons. Among the plotters on New Labour’s back benches it will yet again cause mutterings and mumblings, and lower morale even further – if such might be possible. But for those who fear for the survival of our system without radical and convincing reform – which so far has not been forthcoming – it will be seen as the most convincing evidence yet that MPs have woefully underestimated the apathy and disillusion that is at large in contemporary Britain.
This is why. Taking the three soi-disant main Parties’ by-election votes this time, just three in ten of those entitled to vote offered their support for any part at all of the House of Commons status quo. Or put another way, what the embittered folks tend to call ‘the system’ was ignored by 68% of the electorate. That’s a lot of alienated people.
Jack Straw spoke to various parts of the UK media earlier this week, expressing his view that the MPs’ expenses reform legislation was ‘a better Bill’ for having the criminal prosecution elements of it removed. The response from Norwich North is that the Westminster Village is now more than simply out of touch: it is a village isolated by a deadly plague it seems unable to cure.
END OF EMPIRE
Theoretically, Great Britain had given away the vast majority of its empire by the late 1950s. We have, however, carried on behaving as if we had one - and for a while after the mid 1980s, in a way we did. The final lunge for world importance surrounded soi-disant banking expertise: but that too has now been found out for the huge drain it is. Ireland's historic division is as near to being solved as it will ever be; within a generation it should be a united country free of Britain. The Scots continue to push hard for Independence, and there is no longer the political will at Westminster to stand in their way. We haven't been 'great' for a long time, and pretty soon we won't be Britain either.
None of this is new, but from an anthropological viewpoint the time has surely come when genetic science and sociobiology can tell us a lot more about why empires rise - and more to the point of this piece, why they decline and fall.
That every empire in history has done this is beyond dispute, but at the outset I think it's necessary to distinguish between faux empires and real ones. The Nazi empire, for instance, ruled more of Europe than any other including Rome, but it only lasted for three years. Its collapse had nothing to do with genetic or socio-cultural factors, and everything to do with being crushed by the weight of enemy arms. The Viking empire stretched south to the Canaries and West to America, but they rarely stayed for long after the rape and pillage was over. The original Chinese Empire didn't know the West existed and was itself unheard of by any of us until Marco Polo went there. An Empire can only truly be deemed to exist when most of the known world accepts the hegemony of the imperial power.
On this basis, in modern times (ie, from Christ onwards) there have been but two which rose and fell: Rome, and Britain. The USA will be the third in time, and we are are about to have a fourth - the New Chinese.
Strength, creativity, a bit of cynical tlc and perseverence: these are what makes a successful empire. And yet - to date anyway - they have all fallen in the end. What are the symptoms of this collapse in relation to the extensively documented Roman case? What do they suggest about why it happens? And how can these findings be applied to our End of Empire here in the UK?
The first thing to strike one is the remarkable similarity of factors - despite the two declines being separated by 1800 or more years. I would list the UK's problems by groupings at the moment as follows:
Financial debt, demographic imbalances, ethico-moral decline, alcohol and drugs, structural economic problems and a greedy, self-obsessed constitutional elite.
Gibbon listed the key factors in Rome's fall as: Decline in Morals and Values, Public Health, Political Corruption, Unemployment, Inflation, Urban decay, Inferior Technology and Military Spending.
This is fascinating in the light of contemporary British issues: the birth rate outside marriage, drunkennes, socio-economic corruption scandals, obesity, unemployment, urban alienation, little or no technology leadership and the Trident debate.
Other commentators listed on Google are more specific about how Rome's 'moral strength' was sapped: fashionable homosexuality, excess, concentration of power in a small elite, poor monetary control, oppressive bureaucracy, regional nationalism, and mob behaviour leading to dictatorial legislation. This could almost be a precis of nby's essay archive.
Two other intriguing points are also made. First, that the Romans used lead to carry the water supply - and this led to widespread brain malfunction. We may not have this, but we certainly have a middle and ruling class half-cut or coked-up for much of the time - and both are problems of toxicity. And second, the supplanting of the classical tradition of Roman community with Christian beliefs.
This last is indeed interesting. Christianity opposed almost all the values (whatever we may now think of them) that made Rome an irrestistible power: slavery, merciless killing, cruelty, Roman Gods as 'examples' to the people, and the use of war to further one's ends. In short, it questioned all that Rome held dear: in precisely the same way that today, Islam rejects our beliefs in sexual equality, democracy, financial gain, secular law and the acceptance of deviant sexual behaviour. What seems to have accelerated the rot in Roman society was the arrival of that deadly cancer, multiculturalism.
None of these are (I think) original conclusions. But I wonder if - given all we know about genetic inheritance - there is a medico-scientific 'law' in relation to how many generations can maintain the 'safe' genetic passage of advantageous behaviours before they become diluted. In other words, whether (as in most things to do with anthropology) nature is every bit as important nurture.
Thus, there are calls for homosexuality to be first tolerated and then celebrated: is this perhaps not just a reaction to disciplinarianism (a function of liberal education) but also partly a greater preponderance of Gay genes coming through? Is the obvious lack of shame among contemporary UK politicians not only taking advantage of mores that say 'do it but don't get caught'? Or is it exacerbated by more unbalanced ego genes causing the selfishly power-crazed to seek political influence anyway?
My hunch would be that the genetics of neuroscience will eventually prove the combination of causes. Does this matter? I would say it should, but we are not ready to confirm the science yet.....and therefore it is too late to stop what was Great Britain from sliding into the same squabbling anarchy that befell Rome. Further, the resistance of pc and feminism to any and all science will slow down the acceptance of empirical findings anyway.
But the bigger question would still remain: why? For the chaos theorists, of course, there is no question to answer here. But for the rest of us, why natural selection does the often psychopathic things it does is central to an understanding of what physical existence is 'about' per se. Why, for instance, Swine flu is targeting the productive (dare I say reproductive) demographics rather than everyone: but that is another argument for another book on another day.
CLIMATE, CULTURE & RACE
INTRODUCTION
There is no possibility at all of having a sensible, calm discussion about ethnicity any more in Britain. In fact, there's no point to it anyway because on the whole, it's irrelevant: take any ethnic type and put it in a different climatic, cultural and familial environment, and the difference in attitude and behaviour between that person and others of the same ethnicity in their 'normal' context will be marked. Sure, some inherited mental and physical features will be apparent. But the Black African put through Eton (having been adopted as a baby by some neurotic white star) will regard the other kids from his or her village or town of birth as alien creatures.
Yet race - and the accusation of racism - has become by far the most hotly discussed of all the reasons why a person is or isn't accepted in a country or community. There are reasons why this is (which we will come to later), but first let's nail this issue of what the real influences are on personal behaviour.
CLIMATE AS CULTURAL CATALYST
A simple starting point: climate. As one travels south from the cold to cool temperate climates of Europe, down to warm the hotter temperate zones, and then across the Mediterranean to dry hot and sub-Saharan tropical, extremely obvious cultural behaviours are apparent to anyone with an open mind. The 'development' of cultures and environments into what we laughably call 'modern' in the West is far more advanced in the cooler climates. Economies are well organised, the houses well-built, and these and many other factors are regulated by recognised forms of law and order.
'Latin' Europe is by contrast more laid-back: agriculture still predominates, healthcare is less universal, laws are more easily flouted, housing is often more jerry-built and in the major towns, awful slums are apparent.
Head East and futher South to tropical/dry mixed India, and these features become much worse as both temperatures and humidity increase. Healthcare is sporadic and sanitation piecemeal. In such regions, everything is less well-organised, and the climate's power to ruin Man's schemes means poorer diet and less fresh food. This is exacerbated by poorer standards of transport and refrigeration.
Directly west is Saharan Africa, largely desert now, although only a few tousand years ago it was a cooler, rich, alluvial region. In that perfect climate developed the Egyptian skills in maths, astronomy, building, river management and settled (as opposed to nomadic) agriculture. Today the most obvious thing about North Africa when one first arrives is the blistering heat and the lack of cultivable land. Poverty is everywhere, healthcare almost non-existent as we would know it, and the only ancient Arab trait to have survived intact is water management - because it is so precious. The indigenous well or Shadduf still exists and can be seen everywhere outside the towns. Arabs fought wars about wells - and one can see why. Little or no wealth gained from oil revenues has trickled down to the People, most of whom accept their lot with tragic resolution - and gain comfort from the Mosque.
In central, doldrum-belt tropical Africa, it has always (at least, in Man's time) been oppressively hot and indescribably humid. For most of the year in the Congo for example, just blinking seems to make one sweat. Deadly disease is endemic, industry almost absent and agriculture still crude. The structures are largely tribal: most politics take place along these lines, civil wars almost always derive from tribal squabbles, and the 'Chief' construct - whose patronage must be bought by a combination of service and bribe - goes a long way to explaining the inability to get anything done in sub-Saharan Africa without satisfying several corrupt officials. Following the departure of European imperialists (who, at the end of the day, subjugated the black population by better organisation and weaponry) this area of the world has collapsed back into anarchic chaos. The 'higher' social goals and ideals of the largely European invaders simply haven't been adopted by the independent States: only the arrant greed and megalomania remains.
Now there will be readers among you who even by this point in my argument will be aware of rising hackles and narrowing eyes. This is because they think they know where I'm going with this. But they're wrong.
None of the above is racism, and nor are its conclusions racist: they are empirical, being based on weather charts, geography, pre and post colonial history, and statistics about agriculture, healthcare, birth control and industry by climatic region. The harder Left would say that in itself is simplistic - and in that it's been squeezed into a few hundred words, they're right. But the observations are far from simplistic: rather they are simple. There is a big difference.
There are many drivers of culture, but the evidence strongly suggests that climate is one of the main ones, and in every case the original one. No single empire or dominant regional culture has ever emerged from a long-term inhospitably hot/humid climate. Either there is too much to do just staying alive - or/and the effort of both organising and constructing systems is beyond the energy of the overwhelming majority of the population. Even at our house here in warm temperate southern France, from July onwards no work is possible between the hours of 11.30 am and six pm until early September.
The resultant spread of disease and innately poor diet will in turn inevitably produce physical weakness - and in the longer term in some cases, poorer cerebral development. That too is basic first-year medicine, but I don't have figures on it, and I've no data at all on whether IQ improves when people are removed from that climatic environment. I'd expect it to, but don't know. (This lack of knowledge does not ,of course, hold the BNP back, because they really are thick racists.)
SPECIFICS OF CULTURE AS THE DRIVERS OF CONFLICT
The evidence for climate driving culture, however, is voluminous and multi-disciplinary. The intense heat of South and central Spain and Italy results in many people taking a siesta. They then work later in the evenings, and the children join them for later meals to produce a kind of 'midnight cafe society'. In Islamic societies, the faithful are called to prayer at sun-up and sundown, when they can focus calmly in the cool air on why God is Great. In the Australian outback, there is little need for efficient shelter and neither the soil nor the time or energy to construct anything from a house to an agriultural area. Thus the aborigines have no concept at all of property or land ownership - not even a word in their language for it - because it's a complete irrelevance. In traditional Arab culture, the penalty for stealing water was death - usually without trial.
I could - literally - provide examples of this until I'd created a complete encyclopaedia on the subject. But there's no space and no point: for me, the correlation is blindingly obvious.
Four hundred years of modern Imperialism, slavery, increased rates and speeds of travel, repression in the homeland and emigration in search of work all caused these separately-driven cultures to meet each other in the twentieth century. And all the myriad conflicts that have occurred as a result of that are referred to without a second's thought by far-Right people today as 'racially motivated'. But on the whole, this just isn't true.
The only mass, racist political movement to both take over a country and conquer others with the sole stated aim of genocidal 'purification' was the German Nazi Party. There have been sporadic examples of takeovers in the Balkans in recent years, with similar 'genocide' perpetrated by one group or another. This too is referred to almost universally by the media as 'ethnic cleansing', but it's nothing of the sort: these are conflicts of culture. Often the specifics are religious, but this is but one dimension of culture.
For many years I have argued both in these columns and elsewhere that multiculturalism is quite the most socially suicidal idea ever dreamed up. And I use the verb advisedly, because as a concept it is clung to by those who laudably dream of better worlds, but don't seem to have much connection with this one.
The track-record of multicultural societies is one of eternal strife and appalling human behaviour. Colonialism created the Nigerian, Zimbabwean, Congolese and many other civil wars, it having left behind an artificial mix of antithetical cultures behind....and the post-imperial leaders played on this for all it was worth. On the Indian sub-continent, just the likelihood of planned British withdrawal cause Sikh/Muslim slaughter on such a scale, the separate Islamic State of Pakistan was created. In the British Isles themselves, since 1690 until only a few short years ago, multicultural Ireland (and then Northern Ireland) caused tens of thousands od sectarian deaths.
The most recent example - the introduction of Romanians into Ulster - produced a fascinatingly blinkered media response. Every TV bulletin and every press article referred routinely to the disturbances as racist attacks, as if 'racist' had become another generic descriptor like vicious or dangerous. There was clearly zero reflection anywhere about the use of the word. On closer examination, the violence was an issue of cultural behaviour. A minority of Romanian settlers were chiefly occupied in begging and picking pockets, to which the locals took umbrage. It was as much to do with racism as Chelsea's hatred of Manchester United.
So we need to turn to this culture thing: what makes for a culture, and why do cultural differences cause such unrest? In many ways, the question has already been 90% answered by the foregoing prose, but pc and reality alteration are so generic in 2009, to make any kind of case without hearing stuff like "How could you possibly even think such a thing?" one must pedantically hammer every last nail into the coffin lid of the social engineering lunatic.
If a Muslim comes to the UK, buys a house outside a town, brings the well back into service, and then takes an AK47 to a dozen feral kids for playing on it, he or she will stand trial for murder and be put away for life - after generating lots of hate-headlines in the Daily Mail. The headlines in Baghdad, however,will focus on victimisation of an Arab for defending his lifeblood.
Australians come to Britain and moan about the weather to such an extent, in my experience (and on this matter, it is sadly extensive) they make very few friends until they realise that Bondai beach and 40 degrees in the shade aren't on the agenda. Mind you, neither are dunny spiders, poisonous snakes and the Sydney Morning Herald. Brits who go Down Under and get scared of the sheer danger of Aussie wildlife - and sound sniffy about teenage girls called Rayleen - unsurprisingly get called snobby, wingeing Poms. During the 1970s in south London, the Afro-Caribbean penchant for being awake and partying in the early cool hours did not sit well with whites used to early nights so they could work long hours the next day. The Islamic covered female face is offensive to the liberated-female culture of Britain. Covered faces at fiercely-bargained markets in turn have no place in a retail environment where genuine haggling is rare, and customers expect to look closely at the expression of the person serving them.
When both sides of a cultural divide have survival needs on common (that is, they are both fish out of water) there is initial violence but it rarely lasts. This is especially true if they have the host language and education system in common. Thus rich Nigerians and poor Jamaicans in1970s Brixton loathed each other the way every ownership culture distrusts every rental culture - and vice versa. Puerto Ricans and Italians fought tooth and nail in 1950s New York. Closer to home, London beer was until the 1990s derided by northern English drinkers. But the next generation has either Americaness, Britishness and/or European cosmopolitan experiences in common to defuse the culture clash. None of these elements would be expected to cause serious friction today.
WHY CULTURAL DICHOTOMY IS DUBBED 'RACE HATRED'
Again, what we are talking about here is a lack of appreciation of cultural mores, customs and behaviours. Race is an irrelevance for everyone except four groups: those employed in the pc/race relations industry; those looking for new evidence of the need to overturn liberal democracy; the older and downmarket poor who feel both neglected and invaded by immigration; and those whose genuinely racist ideology dictates that all Jewboys, Chinks, Pakis, Nig-Nogs and Towel-heads are polluting our blood and must be repatriated.
Despite media fog-horning to the contrary, the last two of these groups are - as the recent Euro-elections showed - still an insignificant minority of the population. Group Four exploits the fear and anger of Group Three, but on the whole to zero-sum effect. It is the first two groups upon whom I wish to focus, because their ability to influence larger numbers of people will dictate whether the future is one of unnecessary chaos or genuinely compatible citizenship.
Those who need the 'race relations' sector to prosper include the quangos directly involved, and the cynics among their clients who (having seen how it can be worked to their benefit) play the race card for all it's worth. Those who wish to replace the underlying principles of a libertarian elective democracy - and have reasonable credibility in quite sizeable groups of the population - are basically twofold: the old Far Left (which these days needs a respectable disguise) and the more radical groups within Britain's Islamic population.
As regards the agitators who made up the last paragraph above, it suits their book perfectly to keep the myth of racial hatred alive, well and apparently thriving. The reason for this is simple: without that manufactured reality, they are left with nothing to complain about. These are the people who invented The Anti-Nazi League in the 1980s, during which decade the rarest animal in the UK was a Nazi. They too launched Rock Against Racism at a time when genuine racism was in rapid decline. Now they are hiding behind Hope Not Hate, in an environment where the only true hate discernible in Britain is that aimed towards those who hate our liberties - and vice versa.
During the years so far elapsed in the 21st century, senior British Muslims and Islamic activists have in turn used the false 'racism' definition as a hypocritical plea for privileged treatment. Until the 2005 bombings they denied the existence of Islamic extremism ("An invention of the Western media" said Iqbal Sacranie in that year) and lobbied hard for a law to ban all criticisms of Islam 'even if they are correct'. Tony Blair and the mad people around him were only deflected from this course, ironically, by the actions of Islamic bombers on the London Underground....and the public anger which followed.
But however hard those with an agenda try to push it, the tide is turning against them. Most Brits under 35 accept the lunacy of racial hatred as a given; by and large, they see it as a feature of some dim and distant - almost mediaeval - past. Cultural unfamiliarity remains what it has always been: by far the biggest cause of violent unrest, and an ever-present danger to any society foolish enough to try multi-culturalism.
CONCLUSIONS
For centuries, Europeans from largely cool temperate regions exploited (and then freed) those from more problematic climes. The emergence of global communications and relatively cheap air travel later ensured that antithetical cultures would wind up existing side by side. The friction this evoked has been referred to since the middle of the last century as first, 'racial tension', and then 'racism' by one side against another. The genuine examples of such racial hatred in the UK have been very, very rare for some time. Only those with something to gain have kept the myth of near-Universal 'institutional' racism alive.
Much closer to the truth is the existence of cultural differences developed over centuries by primarily climatic factors. Multicultural societies have a very poor record of stability. By far the most practical solution is for those who find themselves in a host culture driven by a local climate to either adapt to those conditions, or leave.
IS IT A GAME? AND IF SO,WHAT IS IT?
'What game d'you think you're playing?' She cried right from the heart
'You missed me, am I too late?" "No, jump up on the cart".
From the popular song 'My old Man's a Dustman' (Lonnie Donegan, 1958)
I was more than slightly amused the other day to hear a 'loyal' Labour MP referring to the Prime Minister as 'a man on top of his game'. It smacked of the syndrome decribed in the piece below, but more than anything else it made my head start playing with the word 'game'. The word has several meanings, but three above all: a type of meat that is still hunted; a team activity in sport; and a distraction played for amusement, of little or no relevance to big life issues. These are listed in order of seriousness.
Gordon Brown has a powerful whiff of game about him at the moment. Already shot several times, he is hanging upside down until such time as another, better bird can be found - at which time he will be eaten....or thrown away. And yet despite that, you could never describe him as 'a game bird'. Mr Brown is, as everyone but him now realises, a dead duck.
Team sport is one of the ways in which human beings sublimate their brain-wired tendencies towards violence. Although once in South America some years back soccer very nearly resulted in a war between two countries, on the whole it is an acting out of tribal affiliation in which people sometimes get hurt - but very rarely killed. And yet violence between opposing football supporters underlines the reality of its essentially tribal nature. In terms of sheer money, it is of the utmost importance these days; but if you're not that interested in money for its own sake, then team sports are a restorative diversion and nothing more.
The 'parlour game' version of the term usually means either an electronic or board-based game. These can allow us to act out fantasies about defeating space invaders and monsters from an alternative world; or fulfil dreams about having lots of money (Monopoly), being very brainy (Trivial Pursuits), enjoying a life of Piracy (Buccaneer) and so forth. With this sort of game, I would say we have replaced the mortal combat of the amphitheatre: they are a fight to the death for primacy of one individual. (The amphitheatre in its days also replaced the more destructive elements of choosing tribal chiefs that had preceded the greater discipline -f rebublican Rome)
It seems to me that every version of the word 'game' reflects three vital parts of human nature in turn: the desire to killfor survival, the enjoyment of pack safety, and the tendency to become destructive when not given enough serious stuff to think about.
Since God was a boy, politics has been about all three. So too (for most) has the competition of liberal capitalist business. And equally, the social class system works on the exact same principle. Some of it is a deadly game, some of it the secure jubilation of being on the winning team - and some of it the joyous feeling of superiority human beings get from looking down on the less successful. We have leaders, we have clubs, we have schools, we have captains, we have accents, we have qualifications, we have shoots, and we have awards ceremonies. Everything is some form of game in the end.
However, the future of our species and the planet it inhabits is the only game in town these days. And my observation is that in a few cases the players have forgotten the rules, in many cases they have never known the rules, and among a disturbingly high number of citizens, the rules are of no interest to them at all - beyond how they can be broken to their personal advantage.
For the past forty years or more, most people in the West have 'jumped up on the cart' (as the Lonnie Donegan song had it) without thinking too much about its destination or contents. A few have more recently realised we are going to Hell in a handcart at every level - socially, economically, constitutionally, ethically, reproductively and planetarily. But the vast majority of folks remain blissfully unaware - or disbelieving - of the consequences of this. (For a more pointed, perhaps darker, look at the local UK farce, see the article which follows)
As for politicians and business leaders, they are still playing the old games without the remotest clue as to how they can adapt to the new one....the only one worth playing. If you survey the world from Washington via Rio to Tokyo, Moscow, London, Brussels and Beijing, despite the oratory and good intentions of President Obama, the old game-plans are still there - respectively: maintaining US hegemony, dominating a continent, retaining social order, expanding towards old borders, unbridled central Statism, pointless federalism and outright resources-driven imperialism.
Here in Britain, it is depressing indeed to watch an autistic mathematician arguing the toss with a gag-man. And while the Lidem leader is more pointed in his criticisms of this cosy two-tribe Club, he too remains unwilling to talk about the utter irrelevance of almost all of it.
The new game comes more clearly into focus with every year, but one would be hard-pushed to present any of the above concerns as humanity being 'on the ball'. The fact is, this is the Big League; nobody in authority is ahead of the game. And if we as electors and parents and grandparents don't teach those at the top what the new rules are, it will be Game Over before anyone realises.
THE FLIGHT FROM REALITY
Market-makers and financial high-rollers are fond of referring to Gold as 'the flight to safety'. But Bourse floor-traders and politicians seem to share a quite different (and much more crowded) flight: that from reality.
On the whole, the former group (a very select and tiny club) tend to become mega-rich by never losing sight of the street-wise commonsense conclusion. And most of those at the business of shouting at each other - the latter two groups - never amount to much more than a row of beans, because they never listen. Sure, they follow. And without doubt they out-yell each other to become top dog. But these top dogs are rabid: addled by a horrible disease, they have lost all touch with the real world -so they snap at everything. And while their bark is harmless, their bite is deadly.
Over the last fortnight (today is 18th June 2009) in the West we have seen poor figures piled on worrying statistics and then in turn buried under a molten lava flow of very negative signs. But the world of sharp-end share trading and political tit-for-tat spin continues as if all that mattered were lots of little victories while fighting a rearguard action against certain defeat. This defeat must also be denied - and so it is here in the UK that Brown cowers in his bunker while Lord Mandelson preens on his new throne.
These two very different but equally odd men represent not the super-rich smart money, but the struggling nouveaux riches obsessions of those more interested in breaking rules and laws than breaking moulds. They epitomise everything that is valueless, vulgar, tactical and base on the road to one thing: material status, and the power they imagine will come with it.
To be fair to Brown, one imagines he believes his desperation to survive is in a good cause. But it is hard to envisage the calculating, anal brain of Lord Meddlesome being interested in anything beyond the limelight.
The mega-rich - as always - have their safety. Meanwhile, those with their feet on the trading floors and heads in the clouds rarely see the totality of what is about to hit them, any more than everyday white and blue-collar workers foresee much beyond their family and friends. By contrast, the highly educated, shrewd small investors, the ecologists with real vision, and the best of the young entrepreneurs - these folks have their escape plans and various ideas about how to survive the next downwave. It is on them that everything now depends.
But the old citizens and the Old Order will suffer an unimaginably abrupt annihilation. Lacking an active and flexible imagination, they will in most cases be snuffed out by change. And whoever takes over will either take us on to something better - or merely take advantage.
There's not a lot any philosopher can say to help with that sort of future. But for what it's worth, here's my two penn'orth.
Listen not to what people say, but instead watch what they do. Have faith in your best instincts rather than the honed speeches of those with a chequered past. Do not assume anything. And do not reject anything purely on the basis of it being unfamiliar. The familiar is about to become part of the past; the future will be ruled by the unexpected and the unusual - and (if we allow it) by those who would tell you the abnormal is entirely normal. From now on - more than ever before - each of us will need to be guided by the Good within us, not by feelgood words which pretend that Bad is necessary for the Common Good.
See also: The Political Wing and Down the Road Apiece
Or for a more lighthearted view, The News Forecast
THE PROTECTION RACKET
From the tribe to the State, from divine Kings to Parliaments, from Runnymede to the Welfare State – in the history of government, how high has the electorate been up the food chain?
How long have we had government now – three thousand years? Four thousand? I ask this question only because increasingly these days, I’m trying to figure out precisely what the advantages are for we, the long-suffering citizens.
And I'm quite happy to go right back to the start - to the first ideas of government. I think the difference between ‘me big strong, hit you unless do as told’ as a form of tribal leadership, and government as such, is first that there’s more than one person (or family) in charge of stuff in the latter case; and second, there’s often a set of ideas that get beyond the physical assault dimension.
One can’t be sure about this, but much of the ancient evidence suggests that a lot of heads got bashed into submission in tribes, which then went off in search of other tribes to bash. Lord knows how many millennia that ran for, but eventually – either because everyone was exhausted, or somebody bashed everyone else simultaneously – we get the birth of a nation….which then goes off to look for other nations to bash, until we arrive at the Empires, Hitler, and Soviet Communism, where Rest of the World-bashing was the order of the day.
We are gradually realising in the West that British, French, German and Dutch imperialism merely interrupted this natural process in black Africa. Still at the ‘step outside and say that’ inter-tribal punch-up stage when the Europeans arrived, the Africans were suddenly confronted with pink folks who had run out of people to bash. So even before an argument could start, they found themselves clubbed into slavery.Readers who think this an insensitive piece of racism in search of a gag should think again. The departure of the white man from Africa simply allowed the locals to start where they left off: the continent’s history since then has been an uninterrupted pavanne of bloody conflict based almost entirely on tribal interests and rivalries. The idea that the white man caused this is quite incorrect; but that he set back the process four hundred years is undeniable.
Meanwhile, elsewhere there were kings, chiefs, witch finders general…the title matters very little. Although first of all in Greece (and then in Rome at the height of the Republic) it occurred to the thinking minority that the leaders tended to get carried away with their own importance, both Empires imploded in the end and the lesson of power-sharing was lost. Although they took many of the leader’s powers away and placed them in the hands of legislatures, eventually the dictators and militarists realised that a diet of bread and circuses was all the mob needed to persuade them that Senates get in the way too much and we don’t need them anyway. This is almost exactly the advice given by the clown ‘Lord’ Birt to Tony Blair in 2003, but we’re getting ahead of ourselves here.
In fact, we must fast-forward to 1215 to find a modern example of the concept of a legislature with real power. But at Runnymede, England in that year, King John was somewhat gruffly informed by his noblemen that there would either be a Parlement or a beheading. Wisely, John chose the former option. For me, this is more or less when real modern-age government began: that is, about the time taxes became things beyond a means of simply financing all the other-bashing. Although this is a gross over-simplification, apart from brief intervals after that, most of Europe adopted similar legislatures over time. Some were window dressing and some had real power, but ultimately the so-called ‘divine right of Kings’ fell out of favour, because it ended in tears, bloodshed and bankruptcy far too often.
However, it is only since the mid nineteenth century that government has meant anything beyond a vague ‘protecting the citizen’ role. The first ‘welfare’ as such started under the UK’s L iberal Party in 1911 – but only then under pressure from the growing power of the Labour Party. After that – and the Bolshevik revolution in Russia – there was acceptance that the condition of the people was a direct government responsibility….or else. And then after 1945, most European nations had a consensus of left-leaning social democracy.
Now there’s a very important point here: not only did most modern government adopt this responsibility as a form of self-defence (against Communism) but it took them seven hundred and forty years to get round to it in any serious sense. The USA never did, and even under Obama there is already criticism of money designated for social rather than economic and infrastructural uses. It is only over the last sixty years in Britain that the voters have owed anything to government beyond the right to be blown apart dashing from one pointless trench to another. Furthermore, the Kennedy Democrat/Euro-consensus lasted just twenty-five years, after which Reagan and Thatcher turned back in the opposite direction. They promised to make the citizen better off – ie richer – and while the trick worked for a while, it has collapsed twice in the last thirty years (this last time with disastrous consequences for everyone except the super-rich).
What they (and then Blair and Bush and Brown and Merkel) gave the Anglo-Saxon nations was more money. But there were two caveats: mountainous debt, and the strong likelihood that in time this money would be near-worthless.
In short, looking after the governed is not a role government has set itself with what you might call any urgency or consistency in the years since the thirteenth century. And as we are all seeing today in the UK, they are very quick to forget who works for whom….whatever their political persuasion. When faced with the reality of their general unhelpfulness in the face of adversity, our leaders tend to fall back on two answers: ‘not our fault’; and ‘ah yes, but don’t forget we’re still protecting you’. So we need to examine each of those responses in turn.
‘Not my fault’ is of course Gordon Brown’s get-out of choice, but surely no ‘leader’ can opt out of responsibility on the basis of ‘not my fault’ – otherwise, Hitler would’ve won, thanks to politicians saying ‘I didn’t start anti-Semitism and German lebensraum nationalism, ergo not my fault’. Neville Chamberlain tried this approach, but in the end even he had to give it up as a non-starter. Often, the ‘not my fault’ defence falls down on the more straightforward basis of being a downright lie. In the case of Brown, this would apply to Britain’s shortage of gold. When it comes to the British Party system, it would apply equally to voter apathy (‘they’re all crooked, boring arseholes, so why bother?') and our woefully poor educational standards. That this dreadful state of affairs is the direct result of their spineless and corrupt actions is – for everyone else – no longer even a matter for serious debate.
But it’s in the protection arena that those in charge are not so much ringmasters as clowns. And at this juncture we come face to face with my double-whammy gripe: most of the bogey-men who might gobble us up seem to me the products of lively government imagination; whereas the real dangers and nutters don’t appear to take much fright from any of the recriminations, warnings and preparations emitted by the Elite on an almost daily basis.
When it comes to Al Qeida, for example, I’m joined at the hip to the Sunday Times’s Rod Liddle, who wrote in The Spectator (September 13 th 2008), ‘Muslim terrorists are the most cowardly, stupid enemy we have ever faced’. Harsh but fair, Rodders, and I hope the police escort isn’t getting you down too much. He’s right of course, but he should’ve added that without a Tsunami of scare-tactics orchestrated by the Home Office and their allies in MI6, nobody would ever have imagined otherwise: most Islamic bombers burn to death and bugger up their operations without harming anyone or anything. No wonder they’ve adopted the suicide bomber approach: as a last-resort way to hide incompetence, it has no equal. The idea (as I’ve written many times before) that a finely honed and rigidly disciplined global covert army of Arab SAS will kill all of us unless we bow to the idea of ID cards is about as potty as propositions get. The Islamic bombing campaign (while its recruitment techniques are an abomination of cynicism and psychopathy) is literally a case of giving twenty thousand monkeys a typewriter: sooner or later one chimp will type ‘BANG!’, and people will die.
No surprise then that, in order to up the batting average, Muslim terrorists choose the most crowded places they can find. And then, to ensure that the fuse goes all the way to the end without fizzling out, they stay to watch. The truth is that Al Q’eida is a rag-bag of argumentative cells - with unwanted add-ons who use the branding’s cachet as and when it suits their book. But even this shower were quick enough off the mark to bam boozle the security forces in 2005. And when it looked for a second like we might actually catch one in the act, our police shot the subject thirty-eight times in the head. We are, after all, dealing with those who have magical powers, and thus thirty-eight silver bullets in the brain are de rigueur. Shame the bloke turned out to be a South American student.
Things have got to a pretty pass when we are reduced to creating fear about birds, but starting in late 2007 this is precisely what happened. ‘Bird Flu is here!’ yelled the Express after one unfortunate swan flapped his way across the Channel and then collapsed dead onto our shores. What if the Deadly Virus skipped from one species to another? What if it skipped to humans? Well, very probably most of us would die, but none of us did because neither speculative event came to pass. This year we have Swine Flu from Mexico, and the virus has indeed spread very quickly. But once again the what-if brigade have been at it – despite the fact that no healthy person outside central and north America has yet succumbed to its deadly symptoms, ie a heavy cold. Time may yet prove me wrong of course, but even if it does I shall not repent: we have had so many agents of alleged global plague in my lifetime, I shall simply take the view that every professional Job stands a decent chance of being right in the end, albeit just the once.
But while the governments take credit for controlling these outbreaks, in reality they are contained on the ground thanks to the genuine skills, foresight and dedication of both public and private health agencies. Federal and National departments supply little beyond funds and news conferences: the real thinking and doing work is carried out by organisations which are – at their closest – on the outer fringes of government. Also of course, the viruses wind up fizzling out because (if tackled properly and early) they are not really dangerous to most of us at all.
So much for the invented bad karma: what about the really nasty things and people in the world – how are the Establishment dealing with those? The answer is ‘not very much at all really, all things considered’. The list of potential disasters being more numerous than a Gordon Brown Parliamentary answer, it would be just as well at this point to summarise each in turn and then conclude about the degree of protection we’re receiving.
Population control. If we halved the world population, most of our major species/planet problems would be reduced or solved at a stroke. To date just one government – the nasty one in Beijing – has tried to tackle it. They haven’t really succeeded. As far as we know from published information, no major government is even discussing it.
Global Warming. 62% of global warming is caused by Homo sapiens and the livestock which are bred and reared for its diet (see above). To date, only the Swedes (and to a lesser extent the French) are anywhere near self-sufficiency in carbon-neutral energy provision. Most governments have set targets, none of which are anywhere near enough, and all of which to date have been missed.
Energy depletion. The very fossil fuels which our growing population exploits to feed itself have resulted in a whopper of an ozone hole plus the mass release of greenhouse gases. Belatedly, advanced governments are clambering hastily onto the nuclear bandwagon as a medium term solution, but even this is non-replaceable: people forget that there is only a small amount of uranium on and under the Earth. Wind power is being ludicrously hyped, and wave power (despite much greater potential) increasingly abandoned.
The obvious long-term answer is the huge hot shiny thing that sits in the sky and blasts out free energy of staggering dimensions. When asked, the UK Government replies to enquiries about solar power with woffle such as ‘feasibility study’ and ‘early assessment of the upsides’. In other words, no real research is taking place. The Americans, Australians and Chinese are doing so, but for the time being their main focus by far is on grabbing what’s left of the dwindling fossil-energy supplies. (See later under Chinese Imperialism)
Water scarcity. The problems with global water supply are as follows: Most of it is saline; of the rest, most of it evaporates or lands in remote areas; while the human population has grown 5000% in 50,000 years (and most of that in the last fifty) the amount of water on the planet remains unchanged; water companies have failed to invest properly in infrastructure, and so much of that being delivered is wasted; only 5% of the world’s population has access to the fifteen gallons a day of clean water it is estimated each human being needs to allow for hygiene, combating disease and staying alive; the climate is heating up and drought becoming more commonplace; no measures of great significance have been enacted by governments to either improve the reservoiring of water or reduce household consumption.
In my view, the water issue ties for first place as a global problem with population control – and of course they are mutually interdependent.
The British water industry is in private hands, control of its investment and profiteering are toothless, and the Environment department has no fleshed-out plans to improve conservation.
Islamic militancy. I refuse to use the ‘ist’ word, on the obvious grounds that it is a cynical invention to disguise the fact that many Islamics are merely fellow-travellers who privately approve of what mad Islamists are doing.
I noted earlier that the World Terrorist Threat bogey is nonsense. But the actively aggressive intention of Islam to convert everyone else to their mediaeval beliefs – and refusal to accept the social mores of those countries in which they settle – are problems which will remain intractable until non-Islamic governments accept that there is no compromising with ruthless and deluded fanatics.
In Britain, the appeasement of Islam continues – although it was slowed down by the 2005 bombings. The pc-riddled Establishment refuses to grasp the nettle, and has done nothing to persuade our Muslim population that their long-term aims are quite simply unachievable in a mono-cultural democratic State.
The new US President Barack Obama has taken the line of ‘dialogue’ in dealing with the mad folks. My hunch is that this is an ‘OK, but at least I tried’ strategy which will, in the end, justify more drastic action as and when it is becomes necessary – as it inevitably will. If this is not Obama’s real motive, then the policy is hopelessly misguided.
Chinese Imperialism. The Chinese Government remains as enigmatic as always. It is difficult to see whether their creeping territorial and financial colonisation of Black Africa is motivated by the short-term need to secure access to dwindling raw materials, or merely part of a longer-term desire for global domination.
Either way, to date our ‘protection’ against their expansionism has been a big fat zero. Not a single piece of suppression (in T ibet) or obvious financial invasion (in South Africa) has even raised a peep of protest in the West. And whatever a nation’s aims, the ability to realise them without any opposition whatever will always encourage the appetite.
While many fear Russian expansionism in the same way, the data suggest that Russia remains an economic basket-case armed with poorly made and largely outdated weaponry. It’s only bargaining chip is oil, which – in the face of zero EU ‘protection’ of our interests – they have been allowed to use to some advantage. But oil is a yesterday energy, and the RF’s window of opportunity is closing rapidly. We are more likely in the medium-term future to be rescuing the Russians rather than fighting them.
Financial meltdown. This subject has been done to death. Suffice to say that while the financial institutions and their managements have been given total protection, it has been with our money. Some of their now valueless investment products have been ‘guaranteed’ by governments – but here too the shielding of all of us from technical bankruptcy has been done using our paid taxes, and at the cost of debt we cannot realistically expect to service.
The 2008 banking collapse was a classic case of one privileged elite baling out another. The citizens – the governed – are the ones who have paid to be protected. But the protective shield is made of increasingly devalued paper.
Economic slump. While hard to separate from the previous point, the failure of debt- driven, consumption-orientated capitalism is clear for anyone with normal vision to observe. While in the UK New Labour insists that the poorest and over-mortgaged, the unemployed and graduate classes, are being protected (‘lifted out of poverty’) the claim is a lie which would be obscene were it not so comical.
The Government offered no warning, no advice and no budgetary change of policy to alleviate the coming pain. Hiding behind the ridiculous idea that ‘nobody could’ve seen it coming’, the Establishment is even now in denial about our over-dependence on financial services (62%), lack of agriculture (2%), hopeless exporting performance despite a cheaper currency, and utter lack of preparation for the new economic era into which we are now very painfully passing.
The Brown government’s only defence is fantasist invention – ‘far better equipped to handle the coming crisis than any other nation’ – alongside denial of the discredited nature of two-thirds of our source of national income.
Community/family breakdown and the drug culture. The largest share of hard drugs come into Britain from Colombia and Afghanistan. The US is at last treating the Colombian barons as a serious through to our civilisation. The UK government is in Afghanistan, but so far failing to achieve the destruction of drug crops. The Chinese cynically allow the third source – Asia – to carry on supplying the West with social and medical poison. Drug-associated gun crime is through the roof in our inner cities, recreational use continues to increase: many now argue that so much of the Establishment is either using drugs or uninterested in the subject, the epidemiology of regular drug usage is unstoppable.
Thus far we have been given no protection against this beyond stuttering actions by anti-drugs police who lack funds and morale.
There are many, many causes beyond recreational or addictive drug usage for family and community breakdown, but the major part of the blame for it must be laid at the door of political class. This section of society (a) helped encourage (and refused to condemn) it (b) sucked more and more power out of communities and into a disgracefully wasteful Westminster money-pit (c) ignored the statistics recording the accelerating fall in standards of socio-sexual behaviour (d) spectacularly failed to make young males pay the price for feckless relationships (e) made accommodation for many of the resultant single-parent families a social priority and then (f) adopted the spin approach to denying a problem existed – the classic ‘this is not a situation I recognise on the ground’.
Only the Liberal Democrats in the UK have solid proposals for how to tackle the problem, although the Cameron Conservatives are willing to accept the dissolution of society’s glue as one of the biggest problems Britain faces. To date, however, no Party has either outlined an action plan or talked of creating a Department dedicated to tackling it.
Protection? A collapsing judicial system, a bursting prison system, falling levels of violent crime detection, and police being handed idiotic income targets.
It’s all rather depressing, isn’t it? Except that it is more than just depressing: pathetic is more the word that springs to my mind. But ultimately, the description closest to the empirical nature of the governing/governed deal is scam. If you doubt this, let me sum up. For the best part of eight hundred years now, first England and then Britain has been ruled by folks who protected us by taxing us….and then inviting us to get killed for the privilege of being taxed and British. (In the naval sense, if we said ‘no thanks’, they went down to our pubs and did some more of the bashing thing until we were unconscious – waking up later on board His Majesty’s Vessel with a painful headache and a strong chance of losing a limb.)
Only when it looked at first like a fairer system might do them out of an easy life did our Leaders provide us with pensions and free health services – the respective catches being that the pensions were both taxed and devaluing year by year, while the Health ‘service’ quickly evolved into a system under which we were fed crap out-of-copyright drugs and told everything was alright when it quite clearly wasn’t….despite having paid for it month in month out for the best part of forty years. Since 1940, we have been left unprotected from the Nazis (Dunkirk), atomic warfare (‘Protect and Survive’), drug companies (Thalidomide), pollution (killer smogs), workplace coercion (the Unions), loss of home (negative equity), savings value (inflation), savings value again (Brown’s Dawn Raid in 1998), community destruction (multiple food retailers), commercial cheating (Rip-Off Britain), savings value yet again (stock market crash 1989), and once more with the stock market crash (2008), mass unemployment (global slump 2009), double-charging (banks), interest/loan rate manipulation (banks again), massive debt (banker bailout 2007-2009), loss of monetary value yet again (1966 and 2009), tax waste (NHS, EU et al), crooked investment banks (packaged toxic debt 2008-2009) and last but not least, crooked legislators (the expenses scandal, 2009).
From start to finish of this process of being our governers, the Civil Service and its index-linked pension bill got bigger and bigger every year without exception.
As the process unfolded, Britain became the most watched, taxed, unequal, bombed, secretive, commercially crooked and legally illiberal society in Western Europe.
And at the end of that process of being shepherded and shielded, the average British citizen found him and herself saddled with an ignorant, crime-riddled, violent, drunken, deluded, materially obsessed, selfish and debt-ridden culture Above this mess, however, were just under 650 elected legislators variously abusing, defrauding, betraying, ignoring and despising the very people who had put them there in the first place.
And lying ahead were structural problems of manufacturing base, farming capacity, water conservation, Arab and Chinese economic power, astronomical national debt, filthy energy production, the biggest tax rises in history, a devaluing currency, feral children, poorly integrated immigrants, a crisis in State pensions, potential hyper-inflation, and an ageing population for whom the care options were becoming increasingly unacceptable.
The inevitable conclusion one has to reach is that the role of government as working on behalf of the People to protect them is an invention necessary to justify a few people at the top taking the piss. Presented as the raison d'etre of government, 'protection' is in fact an excuse for the madness to continue.
There is no 'deal' - new or otherwise - and there never was. There is only a Sting, entirely reliant on two factors to make it viable: apathy in the citizenry, and increasingly repressive powers to shut up anyone who cries shame.
Finally - at five to midnight - the British electorate has woken up. Well, some of it has: the majority are still distracted by braindead television featuring dysfunctional fame-wannabes: me Simon Cowell, lion - you Susan Boyle, Christian.
But the anger will subside. And then the quiet repression alongside soothing bullshit will return - until people are given truly local power to change their communities for the better; until civics is taught as a key subject in schools; until real willingness is shown by voters to dismantle the privilege enjoyed by the few; until MPs finally learn that question-avoidance dusgusts people; until the voting system offers more democracy and choice to the People; until a new role is found for work, employment and post-Crash capitalism; and above all, until the values of our culture go back to an understanding that there is more to life than consumption.
EVERY SMALL MINORITY IS AN INTOLERANT MAJORITY IN THE MAKING
Unsurprisingly, in the sixty-odd years since the Second World War, Western culture has fought the corner of all minorities in our midst. Once the barbaric attempt to eliminate all European Jews had seeped out of Nazi Germany, a Golden Rule emerged which declared, quite simply, 'no more racial hatred'. It endures to this day (as indeed it should) but has unfortunately led us to be utterly undiscerning in our support for all minorities.
By and large, after the late Sixties in Britain the chief weapon against maltreatment of minorities has been the Statute Book. Having been a firm supporter of it at the time, I have come to realise that this approach has enormous disadvantages (see essay below). It patronises the able, and suggests to the more cynical that an easy ride is available for anyone who would work the system. But more importantly, it encourages an attitude of automatic entitlement which is at best dangerous, and at worst downright infuriating. There is little in this world less attractive, and more culturally dysfunctional, than the mediocre gaining easy access to power and influence on the basis of 'oh well, poor thing - after such dreadful treatment, he/she deserves it'. It is a harsh lesson to learn, but something that costs nothing has no value. There is no such thing as 'the easy way' unless privilege is involved; and the easy way is never a good thing, either personally or socially.
The assumption of pc robots like Harriet Harman and almost every social worker I've met is that, by definition, disadvantaged people are nice, ergo all affirmative action is good. Full stop, that's it - now go away you appalling dinosaur. But it simply isn't true. One of the nicest men I ever met while seriously ill in hospital once was a Catholic priest; and the ghastly bigot who turned up to administer my grandmother's funeral was one of the worst. Membership of a suspicious minority - even the physically disabled - does not sanctify one.
But there is also a broader assumption that going easy in some areas on (and 'artificial' promotion of) minority groups must be a good thing. The obvious falsity of this idea can be seen throughout recorded Christian history.
The early Roman Christians were, one assumes, going about their work in quiet holiness when somebody suddenly decided they might (if thrown to lions) add a much-needed element of entertainment to events in the Amphitheatre of a Saturday afternoon. But the later emperors were converted to the doctrine, and by the fall of the Empire Christiantity was a mainstream religion.
Fuelled by the hubris of its new-found position, the Catholic church then went on to become the great kingmaker, the great eminence grise behind all temporal power - and one of the worst agents of mass murder throughout post-Roman Europe. This is not to single out Catholic ministers for special ire: as the centuries passed, other extremists like the Puritans (once they were backed by the Cromwellian State) gaily carved up every Catholic they could find in seventeenth century Ireland.
My point is straightforward: give a religious minority privileged status, and it will end in tears. So it has with Islam, the dreadful goings on in Iran and Afghanistan bearing nightmare witness to this. Where it hasn't is in post 1789 France, where early atheism morphed into a State with no established religion. The French church is, without a doubt, the better for it....and society far more calm.
The same rules apply equally obviously to political minorities. Having been hounded by the Tsarist Russian State, the Bolsheviks (in 1917, a Party of fringe status at best) awarded themselves the only power available after 1920. The dire results would take a very thick book to catalogue. In post 1919 Germany, the Nazis were a tiny Party until at his trial for treason in 1923, Hitler gave a heroic Nationalist performance. The result was a Weimar State frightened of his popularity. They gave him a light sentence, privileges in jail, early release, and allowed local government officials and police to look the other way as the bully-boys of the SA smashed Jewish shop windows or simply beat anyone who heckled their meetings to a pulp. Although not elected Chancellor until 1933, Hitler was on a rising curve because he became (literally) a law unto himself after 1925.
Before 1966, British homosexuals were badly treated by a criminal 'justice' system that virtually forced them to engage in criminality in order to find partners - while often blackmailing them when caught. It was a standing joke at the time that the Homosexual Law Reform Act of that year was mainly passed to stop Foreign Office homosexuals from being first importuned by, and then coerced into, the Soviet espionage service: but a great many of us thought (and still think) that criminalising a genetic birth accident which (in private) does no harm was an unspeakable way for any caring State to behave.
At some stage in the mid to later Seventies however, an unholy alliance of teachers, local politicians and outspoken Gays like PeterTatchell decided that social tolerance wasn't enough: the Gay lifestyle had to be accepted as every bit as good a model for society as the heterosexual version. There is nothing evil in this desire, it's just utterly and completely wrong on about every basis one could imagine: factually incorrect (in affecting at most 6% of the male population, homosexuality is by definition abnormal), species reproduction, confusing for children with two-sex parentage, and ultimately glorifying a degree of promiscuity which came closer than many realise to wiping Gays out entirely.
Today, the insanity has gone a stage further, whereby the Government wants to make all criticism of homosexuality illegal. It's tried this sort of lark before of course: only the London Bombings in 2005 stopped Britain's Islamic community from being given precisely the same position above the law. A lot of this sort of thing comes again from the inflated egos of community leaders - be they leading Gay celebrities proffering tasteless and offensive gags on primetime television, or the likes of Iqbal Sacranie on the Muslim Council.
But the point remains, whatever one does for underprivileged minorities, it's never enough. Despite all the anti-offence legislation passed in their favour, 34% of Britain's Islamics want to install Sharia law - by force if necessary. And now they have their Gay weddings, many leading homosexuals want to make 'homophobia' (a quite ridiculous term) a criminal offence.
Resort to the law has created a massive industry for lawyers (no change there, then) but it is equality before the law that our culture is now so sadly missing. It matters not a fig whether those who think they can make their own rules - and whose appetites for privilege can never be satiated - are MPs, bankers, hedge funds, Muslims, women or Gays: all miscreants of whatever denomination, class or profession must face the same blind justice supposedly enshrined above the dome of the Old Bailey.
For too long during the last forty years, we have allowed a 'special' status for minorities. But this must now end. West Indian men must accept parental responsibility, indulgent parents of whatever class brought to book, bankers reminded far more forcibly of their social responsibilities, Muslims that they have a duty of citizenship, and homosexuals that their preference is to be tolerated, not celebrated - and most definitely not to be installed as some sort of bizarre sexual diplomatic immunity.
The thesis of this essay is that any privileged pressure group will not rest until it is the Sovereign power in the land. The trade union movement came within a gnats of achieving this during the mid 1970s. It is to my eternal regret that it took a gargoyle like Baroness Thatcher to get put them back in their place. With hatred of Parliamentary legislators at its highest level since 1680, we would all do well to examine closely any minority which would negotiate itself a special position.
GOOD AND BAD IS A TWO-WAY STREET
One of the most persuasive bits I took from Buddhist philosophy is the now classic 'Good comes from Bad'. I'm not big on Yin and Yang, but I have had so many experiences that confirm the good-from-bad thing, I now find that simply saying it while stuck in traffic or hacking at brambles is strangely comforting.
When told by a daughter that his crushing defeat in the 1945 election was 'a blessing in disguise', Churchill replied 'Then it is indeed very effectively camouflaged'. But as it turned out, Attlee's Labour government was far better equipped than he to rebuild society on new lines; look back at some of the old warrior's plans for postwar government in 1944, and you can see he would've been hopelessly out of time had he won a year later. As it was, defeat allowed his reputation to remain largely untarnished.
Nearly all of us learn far more from the crap that goes with reversal. Some learn more than others, and a tiny oligarchy never learns anything. These unfortunate souls we call politicians, bankers, lawyers and footballers. And there is more to this point than a cheap laugh: for one thing the British oligarchy has never grasped is that an awful lot of bad also comes from good.
Rousseau famously wrote that you can't force people to be free. The road to serfdom is paved with good motives, and trampled by the well-intentioned: they all have their hearts in the right place - it's just the location of the heads we need to worry about.
From here on this gets rather more contentious. I thought at the time that the Race Relations Act was a triumphant milestone. I now see it as a tragic millstone - not because I've become a racist, but because first, its existence has created a form of paranoid dependency ('Is it cos I is black?) and second, its extension has not always been well-meaning. Islamic groups tried hard between 2001 and 2005 to use it to their advantage - and still do. Only the London Bombings ruined their plans - good from bad, no doubt: but at the core of our British problem is privilege in all its many forms. Upscale or down at the bottom, it makes no difference - an industry (and there clearly is one) based on perceived racism is as far above the Rule of Law as MPs bending their expenses.
Throughout the 1970s, I was hugely in favour of women's rights. The main reason for this was entirely selfish: I didn't fancy being a sole breadwinner from the ages of thirty to sixty. I had also seen close-up the glass ceiling everywhere in my own profession: 'women can be location-finders and art buyers, but not Board directors'. That's largely changed now, and a good thing too - but bad has resulted from later legislation.
Divorce awards to women have reached way too far through the Looking Glass for anyone to argue that they're realistic. 'But the husband has all that money' cry the harpies; oh right - so you married the bloke for his money did you? Case dismissed. Today, it's not that sexism in the workplace is hard to prove: it's disproving it that causes the problem, especially for smaller entrepreneurs who can't afford the flash legal vultures who pick at the bones of corporate and marital relationship breakdown. 'I want to be equal in every way, except when it comes to the shareout. I want to be independent, except when it comes to money for my children'. That sort of brazen hypocrisy paints the contemporary feminist litigant with the same ordure as the original male chauvinists.
But the legacy of feminism has been much greater than this. It has, effectively, removed the father as an important authority figure, and suggested to many that careers are more important, fun and lucrative than bringing up children. That is, I'm quite certain, true: but kids showered with money not love (or left to the attentions of a series of dodgy uncles) do not a balanced citizen make. Not all life is meant to be fun.
Affirmative action has been the natural end of this road; except of course that it is entirely unnatural, woefully unequal, and unbelievably patronising: 'poor dears...can't make it on their own...let's put them in jobs they can't do - then everything will be fine'. Go to South Africa and see this disastrously misguided policy in full flow. Go to the Commons gallery and listen to a delusional Harriet Harman promoting the illegality of men buying sex alongside the legality of women selling it. It is 100% pure Swiftian unreality: home-made political satire, in fact.
The short answer is that, quite often, from bad experiences come good outcomes. This is because most of us are real people, and learn. Bad residues come from good intentions when those devoid of insight are put into positions of power. There is a formula here for the virtuous rather than vicious cycle:
Mistake = learning = insight = wisdom = foresight
Rocket science it isn't; nor indeed it is entirely infallible - nothing ever is. We live in times that confuse the simple with the simplistic, that despise elegant simplicity and prefer instead the strangulated English and puerile flow-charts of management consultants. Our political culture has swallowed this hook whole, and is now choking on it.
THERE ARE A LOT MORE THAN EIGHT BILLION PEOPLE ON THE PLANET
Apologists for Gordon Brown (and they are shrinking innumber with every day) insist that there is more than one of him. For me, one is more than enough: but the duality observation is said of the PM as if to suggest that his unique greatness lies within its imagined reality.
I think there are three Browns; and probably over the years there have been many others. At the start he was firebrand Brown, rugger-bugger Brown and then rapidly rising left-centre Brown. Today, he is well-meaning/entertaining in private Brown, I'm always right Brown, and of late I'll say or do anything to stay in power and don't argue with me you amoeba because I'm saving the world Brown. (Mad Brown for short)
This is no more than the human condition. We are all to greater and lesser extents the owners of multiple personality and behaviour facets - how could one have double standards otherwise? Ecologists have cars, eat meat and fly on aeroplanes because it's more convenient and can be enjoyable. Farmers practise organic methods but grow the wrong stuff because it's more profitable than raising chickens. Doctors insist on draconian drinking recommendations but have the highest alcoholism rate. MPs enter Parliament to do good, discover they can't, and so have affairs and/or fiddle expenses as a form of comfort.
I'm as bad as anyone. I give a lot of free time to causes without payment, but am not above taking lucrative freelance jobs I know to be largely pointless. I'm a considerate partner with a terrible temper and a penchant for the hair-trigger. I preach considered strategy to the world, and tackle many jobs in the most impetuous and disorganised manner. I deplore obesity but display greed at many tables - especially when French bread and cheese are available.
I have a close chum who is hopelessly unreliable but wonderfully loyal. Another who marches in protest against real injustice but is obsessively self-centred. A wife who has enormous physical bravery but is terrified of having to speak French - although she can do so perfectly well. I have an ex-wife perfectly capable of the most appalling cruelties and selfless commitment on the same day.
All this is not to say 'let he who is without guilt cast the first stone', if only because another bloke said it first two thousand years ago. Rather, my point is this: to the media - do not expect perfection, or you will destroy the very system that allows you the freedom so to do. To campaigners - do not listen solely to what people say, watch what they do and observe their track record...Ms Lumley take note here. And to legislators - stop striving to make Homo sapiens perfect: only evolution will do that, if at all. Strive instead to rebuild the culture such that our imperfections can be neutralised, marginalised - and thus rendered relatively harmless.
Most folk in politics and social 'engineering' think that improvement is all about more and more legislation. This is quite wrong, and based on the Thomas Hobbes 'nasty, brutish and short' view of life. Disciplined civilisation and focused medicine proved dear old Tom the Nazi wrong: laying more layers of controlling legislation and dubious medical science onto uncivilised indiscipline will end with a new Tom the Nazi running things. Boris the Nazi, perhaps: he certainly has the hair for it.
As we keep banging on about in these columns, 'It's the culture, stupid'. The admirable Rupert Everett went further, naming and shaming dear old Hattie with his infamous remark about her proposed Prostitution Bill: 'She's just another fucking New Labour idiot'. Succinct, but not entirely right: I do not doubt that there are many, many Harriet Harmans.
The problem is, she thinks there's only one type of man. And therein lies one of the major dysfunctionalities of contemporary social 'science': what's the point of having 'one size fits all', when all of us are different to each other, and are carrying at least three of us around each and every day?